A
condo crisisBy
J. Craig Anderson The Arizona Republic 10.10.09
New
federal loan-guarantee rules imposed to fend off future
government losses from plummeting condominium prices have
rendered condos utterly worthless, Valley real-estate experts
said.
The
Federal Housing Administration rules, which took effect Oct.
1, prohibit any new FHA-backed loans on condo units in
projects that include more than 25 percent commercial space.
In
addition, no single investor - including the developer - may
own more than 10 percent of the units in a particular project.
That particular restriction alone creates a catch-22 from
which condo builders most likely cannot escape, said mortgage
originator Jill Hoogendyk of Wallick & Volk in
Glendale
.
Another
rule that has sellers and brokers scratching their heads
prohibits FHA loans in condo developments that aren't
"primarily residential," which could be taken to
mean the FHA won't guarantee loans in future mixed-use
projects.
"I'm
predicting that what we'll see is whole condominium complexes
sitting empty," Hoogendyk said.
The
new rules are a reaction to substantial losses on federally
insured condominium mortgages in the past year, government
officials have said. In
Maricopa
County
, condominium foreclosures have outpaced condo-unit sales by
nearly two to one since Jan. 1, according to real-estate
analyst Zach Bowers of Ion Data in
Mesa
. According to Bowers, lenders foreclosed on about 8,200 condo
units between Jan. 1 and Sept. 30, compared with about 4,900
units sold during the same period.
"It's
been pretty much consistent throughout the year that no one's
buying condos," Bowers said. "The whole market seems
to have stagnated."
The
new restrictions won't directly affect high-end, luxury condos
that sell for more than the Federal Housing Administration's
roughly $350,000 lending limit, but Hoogendyk said FHA loans
are by far the most commonly used loan among condo buyers.
Without that option, buyers would have to obtain conventional
loans, which are more expensive and difficult to qualify for,
or they would have to pay cash.
Hoogendyk
said the FHA rules amount to a death sentence for the
Phoenix-area condo market, which had only been kept on life
support by the continued availability of FHA loans.
Creating
a special restriction that only applies to one type of housing
is discriminatory, local critics said, and it punishes
existing condominium owners by making their properties nearly
impossible to sell.
"They'll
lose everything," Hoogendyk said, "And quite
honestly, they'll move just because they're afraid to live
there."
Bowers
said there are Phoenix-area condominium projects in which only
a handful of buyers purchased individual units. The only
viable use for such projects would be renting the unsold units
as apartments, which many condo building owners already have
been doing.
However,
most have continued trying to sell units, hoping to eventually
sell out as the real-estate market recovers. Because of the
new rules, local and national experts seem to agree that
owner-occupants in half-empty condo buildings are now
practically doomed to foreclosure. Hoogendyk said the last
thing
Arizona
's real-estate market needs is government decisions that
hinder its recovery.
"They
should be making it more attractive to buy condos, not
less," she said.
For more
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